Grigor Dimitrov takes on Jannik Sinner at the French Open. Our French Open odds series has our Dimitrov Sinner prediction and pick. Find out how to watch Dimitrov Sinner.
The 2024 French Open heads into the quarterfinals. We're down to eight men vying for a title. Jannik Sinner already has a major championship to his name after winning the Australian Open earlier this year. Sinner's career is still relatively young at age 22. He is already ahead of schedule and — provided he stays healthy — should have a decade of time to pile up more major titles.
Grigor Dimitrov has played pro tennis for more than a decade. He is now 33 years old. He is still very fit and strong. His physical stamina is exemplary, and his work in the training room has earned respect throughout the ATP Tour. He can play for a few more years and still be a factor. However, at his age, he still doesn't have the young legs Jannik Sinner has. Dimitrov is in a position where his yesterdays outnumer his tomorrows. He has played most of his career. He has a limited amount of time left. Even if he stays fit, the natural aging process will take away a measure of the speed he had in his physical prime, his early-to-mid 20s. Dimitrov won't get many more chances to win an elusive major championship. This might be his last great chance.
Here are the Grigor Dimitrov-Jannik Sinner French Open odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
French Open Odds: Grigor Dimitrov-Jannik Sinner Odds
Game spread
Dimitrov +5.5: -108
Sinner -5.5: -124
Money line
Dimitrov: +330
Sinner: -420
To win first set
Dimitrov: +194
Sinner: -245
Total Games In Match
Over 36.5: -118
Under 36.5: -112
Dimitrov over 16.5 games: -120
Dimitrov under 16.5 games: -110
Sinner over 20.5 games: -110
Sinner under 20.5 games: -120
How To Watch Grigor Dimitrov vs Jannik Sinner
TV: Tennis Channel Plus
Stream: Tennis Channel Plus
Time: approx. 8:30 a.m. ET / 5:30 a.m. PT (could be earlier or later depending on previous match on court)
*Watch Grigor Dimitrov vs Jannik Sinner LIVE on fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Why Grigor Dimitov Could Cover The Spread
The spread of 5.5 games for this match means multiple things for you as a bettor. First, it means that if Sinner wins this match in straight sets, Dimitrov will have to force at least one tiebreaker and lose the other two sets by no more than two games, be it 6-4 or 7-5. All three sets will need to be really close for Dimitrov to cover if this match lasts only three sets. Therefore, we move to the second point: A 5.5-game spread in a best-of-five-set match means that the underdog is expected to win at least one set. This match is not supposed to be a straight-setter, given that Sinner is less than 100-percent fit, and given that Sinner decisively lost one set in his previous match against Corentin Moutet on Sunday. If you do bet on Dimitrov to cover, you should bet on him because you expect him to win a set, not because you're expecting a 6-4, 7-6, 7-5 win for Sinner. Just be clear about that.
Why Jannik Sinner Could Cover The Spread
Sinner has failed to cover the game spread in each of his last two matches, but those spreads were 8.5 games, which are large spreads to cover. This spread is three games lower, at 5.5. Based on what we said above about Dimitrov's chances of covering the spread, if Sinner can win this match in straights, it is more likely than not that he will cover. It's possible that he won't cover, but on clay, you generally don't expect a match to be 7-6, 7-6, 6-4. If just one of the first three sets is 6-3 for Sinner, the Italian will cover the spread if he wins in straight sets and doesn't play two tiebreakers in the other two sets he wins. If you think Sinner will win this match in straights, you should bet on him to cover. You could also bet on him to win under 20.5 games, since 6 plus 7 plus 7 is under 20.
Final Grigor Dimitrov-Jannik Sinner Prediction & Pick
First off, you could consider Dimitrov on the money line with the plus money price. Second, if you think — as we do — that Dimitrov will win at least one set, that means Sinner is unlikely to win under 20.5 games. If this match goes four sets and Sinner wins, he will probably win at least 21 games. If the match goes five sets, Sinner should collect at least 21 games regardless of whether he wins. Take Sinner over 20.5.
Final Grigor Dimitrov-Jannik Sinner Prediction & Pick: Sinner over 20.5 games
